NWS Predicting Ice and Snow for Jefferson County

5:30pm update: – Here is the latest total snowfall model.

5:00pm update: – Here is the Tuesday snowfall forecast graphic from the NWS.

3:30 pm update: – The NWS will be issuing a Winter Weather Warning for Jefferson County and all of Northeast Kansas. They will be modifying their snowfall projections soon. They are now projecting around 10″ of snow in Jefferson County by Wednesday.

Original Post 9:30am– It looks like Jefferson County will receive another round of winter weather to start the work week. Below is the current weather story graphic from the NWS.

The NWS also issued a winter storm watch for Jefferson County that will go into effect at midnight tonight and last until 6am on Wednesday.

Monday morning expect a slight glazing of ice in the County and allow for extra time to deal with it. I think we are looking at more of a freezing mist like we saw earlier this winter for Monday with a couple of periods of drizzle. It looks like the make up of this system will allow for periods of time without precipitation in the county. The main system of this storm is expected to develop Tuesday morning and develop into a major storm system.

To give an idea of what we are looking at, here is a segment of one of the model runs for Tuesday. This run shows the classic comma shaped system where there is usually a heavy snow band associated with the part of comma over Kansas.

The system is also expected to produce significant winds Tuesday in the 20-30 mph range which will cause drifting snow.

Pay attention to the weather forecast for the next couple of days (every 3 hours or so) and as always, prepare for the worst case scenario and hope for the best one.


Messy Forecast to Start Work Week

We have been watching a weather system just off the west coast that should impact Jefferson County starting this Monday the 31st and continue to Wednesday the 2nd.

The models are showing a significant amount of moisture being introduced into the area on Tuesday. Current thoughts are that we may see an icing event on Monday and snow on Tuesday into Wednesday morning.

My greatest concern on this is the potential for high winds on Tuesday night which will lead to drifting snow and wind chills near zero or below zero.

More to follow as this system moves closer to us.


Website Transition Completed

The website transition from k0sds.com to jf-ks.com has been completed. Jfksem.com is still pointing to this site so all previous links should still work. I will be expanding the content in the future and plan on adding more static pages as time allows. In the mean time check out the area news page and area sports pages that I have built. They are pulling feeds from the local media outlets in and around Jefferson County. Clicking on the article titles will take you to the full article on their host site. I plan on doing the same thing with a national news feed in the near future.

I have also spiced up the layout a bit, hopefully it makes the site a little better to look at. I would rather spend the time I do have to work on this focusing on good relevant content and less on the graphics.

Thank you for your patience while I was making the changes and let me know what you think.

I have created k0sds.com as a separate site to use as more of a personal page where I can post my opinions  and thoughts. My thoughts for this site continues to be more of a factual based awareness tool.


Water Main Break in RWD#12

It has been reported to me that there is a break in a 6″ waterline in Jefferson County Rural Water District #12. Crews have located the leak and are attempting to repair it. I will pass on more information as it becomes available.

Below is a map of RWD#12 from KRWA.

Weather is a Fickle Beast

Weather is a fickle beast, especially winter weather. When I discuss winter weather with my friends I am always quick to remind them that snow is much harder to predict than rain. On the other hand we don’t place near the significance on rainfall amounts in relation to snow amounts. Most people are satisfied just to know if its going to rain on a certain day and not as concerned with exact rainfall amounts down to the .10 of an inch.

As I tried to allude to in my entry from yesterday, my confidence was not the highest for this event. Every model run seemed to be different, but they all placed snow in Jefferson County. As an Emergency Manager my tendency is always to prepare for the worse case scenario and hope for the best.

In this case we received a dusting to one inch across the County. We can look for a little more of the same today, with the system moving out of our area by tonight. The temperature should bottom out around 10 degrees tonight and warm up in the lower 30’s for most of next week.

The current graphic for today from the NWS is below.

More Snow for Jefferson County

An upper level system is descending down on us from Nebraska that will bring more snow to Jefferson County today and carry over into Sunday Morning. I’m expecting around a 3″ average across the County. The setup on this system is a little tricky. Indications are that the main area of concern in the area will be closer to the St. Joe area. Much like the snowstorm earlier this week the snowfall drop off will be steep. Pay attention to the forecast this afternoon as this system has the potential of shifting and drastically changing the snowfall amounts.

Below is the current snowfall graphic from the NWS. It was issued at 3:30 this morning.

The k0sds blog has been retired…


Image via Wikipedia

The k0sds blog has been retired… I am working on a concept to provide a flexible, timely information portal targeted to people with interests in and around Jefferson County, Kansas. A large component of this concept involves discover-ability by the major search engines. To be able to do that I need to broaden the focus of this site a bit. I am re-branding the site the JF-KS Situation Room to better reflect the direction this project is going and to facilitate the required changes. This weekend the base address for this site will change to JF-KS.com. The current content will remain, I will end up only expanding it from here.

My hope is to have the transition to JF-KS.com completed with plenty of time left to get weather information out for the snow this weekend.

K0sds.com and jfksem.com will both redirect to this new site, so hopefully all links will still work. I plan on leaving the redirects in place for a while so the web crawlers (search engines) catch all of the changes. After that, who knows.


Jefferson County Received Around 7" Countywide

According to trained spotters, COOP observers and myself there was an average of 7 inches of new snowfall in and around Jefferson County. Below is a map from the NWS showing initial snowfall amounts from the January 19th, 2011 snowstorm.

Snow Fall For1/19/2011

Most areas of the County had 2-3 inches of snow left over from last weeks snowstorm. Total snow depth in some areas are over 11 inches.

Preliminary forecast for this weekend are calling for another couple of inches of snow on Sunday. Check back in with jf-ks.com this weekend for more information.


The IRS is looking under rocks for money now.

Mr. Carpenter contemplates the tax forms this ...
Image by Manchester Library via Flickr

My wife called me the other day and said the accountant for the business she works for told her that she was going to have to track all payouts made by her business for this year due to the affordable health act. Now before you jump to the conclusion that a business should track all payouts we need to first examine the nature of business the company my wife works for engages in.

To read the rest of this article click here.