SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

Public Severe Weather Outlook

PWO Image

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0255 PM CST FRI NOV 30 2018

...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the ArkLaTex and
vicinity this evening and overnight...

* LOCATIONS...
  Western and central Arkansas
  Southeastern Oklahoma
  Northeastern Texas
  Northwestern Louisiana

* HAZARDS...
  A few intense tornadoes
  Scattered damaging winds
  Scattered large hail

* SUMMARY...
  Severe thunderstorms are forecast from parts of the southern
  Plains to the lower Mississippi Valley this afternoon into
  tonight, with a risk for tornadoes, damaging winds, and large
  hail. Some of the tornadoes may be strong this evening and
  overnight.

Preparedness actions...

Tornadoes at night can be particularly dangerous because they 
are usually fast-moving and difficult to see. Stay tuned to
NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and
warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable
for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado
warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety,
ideally in a basement or interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building.

&&

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SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

Public Severe Weather Outlook

PWO Image

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 PM CST MON NOV 05 2018

...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the ArkLaMiss to the
Tennessee Valley this evening and overnight...

* LOCATIONS...
  Northern Mississippi
  Western and Middle Tennessee
  Northwestern Alabama
  Southeastern Arkansas
  Northeastern Louisiana

* HAZARDS...
  A few intense tornadoes
  Scattered damaging winds

* SUMMARY...
  Severe storms capable of damaging winds and tornadoes are likely
  this evening and overnight across the ArkLaMiss region and
  Tennessee Valley. The severe threat is expected to begin near or
  just after sunset near the Mississippi River and continue
  through the overnight hours into the Tennessee Valley.

Preparedness actions...

Tornadoes at night can be particularly dangerous because they 
are usually fast-moving and difficult to see. Stay tuned to
NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and
warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable
for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado
warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety,
ideally in a basement or interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building.

&&

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SPC Nov 5, 2018 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1247 AM CST Mon Nov 05 2018

Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM A PORTION OF
THE SOUTHEAST STATES TO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION...

...SUMMARY...
A few severe storms with locally strong wind gusts and perhaps a
tornado or two will be possible from a portion of the Southeast
States to the Middle Atlantic region.

...A portion of the Southeast States into Middle Atlantic region...

Surface low will occlude over the Great Lakes Tuesday morning in
association with a northeast-ejecting shortwave trough. Trailing
front will move off the Middle Atlantic seaboard by evening, but
southwest extension of this boundary will stall from southern
portions of the Gulf Coast States into TX. 

Showers and thunderstorms will be ongoing along and just ahead of a
cold front from the OH Valley into a part of the Gulf Coast states
with a modest risk for isolated damaging wind. This activity may
weaken as it crosses the Appalachians due to the very marginal
thermodynamic environment. A strong southerly low-level jet will
transport low-mid 60s F dewpoints into the Middle Atlantic region
contributing to potential for surface-based destabilization with
400-800 J/kg MLCAPE. Redevelopment of low-topped convection with
embedded thunderstorms may occur, especially from central/eastern
Carolinas to VA and eastern PA as the surface layer moistens and
destabilizes during the day. The convection will be embedded within
a strong kinematic environment with wind profiles supportive of
updraft rotation and a few bowing segments. Tendency for the deeper
forcing to shift north, away from the more unstable portion of the
warm sector and the overall weak thermodynamic environment remain
limiting factors, but feel threat is sufficient to maintain the
slight risk for this update.

...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD...
Tornado:   5%     - Slight
Wind:     15%     - Slight
Hail:     <5%     - None

..Dial.. 11/05/2018

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SPC Nov 4, 2018 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook

Day 3 Outlook Image

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0144 AM CST Sun Nov 04 2018

Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM A PORTION OF
THE SOUTHEAST STATES TO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION...

...SUMMARY...
A few strong to severe storms with locally strong wind gusts and
perhaps a couple of tornadoes will be possible from a portion of the
Southeast States to the Middle Atlantic region.

...A portion of the Southeast States to Middle Atlantic...

Showers and thunderstorms will be ongoing along and just ahead of a
cold front from the OH Valley into the Gulf Coast states with an
ongoing modest risk for isolated damaging wind. Surface low will
shift from the OH Valley into the lower Great Lakes as the attendant
shortwave trough advances northeast. Some of the thunderstorms may
weaken/dissipate as they cross the Appalachians. Redevelopment may
occur, especially from the central/eastern Carolinas into the
eastern Middle Atlantic during the afternoon where greater
destabilization is possible in association with northward advection
of richer low-level moisture. The kinematic environment will support
organized convection along/ahead of the cold front. However,
widespread clouds and weak instability will probably serve as
overall limiting factors for a more robust severe threat.

..Dial.. 11/04/2018

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SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

Public Severe Weather Outlook

PWO Image

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0310 PM CDT WED OCT 31 2018

...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the lower Mississippi
Valley this evening and overnight...

* LOCATIONS...
  Louisiana
  Southern and Central Mississippi
  East Texas

* HAZARDS...
  A few intense tornadoes
  Scattered damaging winds
  Isolated large hail

* SUMMARY...
  The greatest risk for severe thunderstorms, capable of producing
  damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes, exists from southeast Texas
  to the lower Mississippi Valley through tonight.

Preparedness actions...

Tornadoes at night can be particularly dangerous because they 
are usually fast-moving and difficult to see. Stay tuned to
NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and
warnings. A tornado watch means that conditions are favorable
for tornadoes to form during the next several hours. If a tornado
warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety,
ideally in a basement or interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building.

&&

..Gleason.. 10/31/2018

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SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

Public Severe Weather Outlook

PWO Image

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1138 AM CDT FRI JUL 27 2018

...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the central High
Plains this afternoon and tonight...

* LOCATIONS...
  Western Kansas
  Far northeast Colorado
  Far southwest Nebraska

* HAZARDS...
  Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force
  A couple of tornadoes
  Widespread large hail, some baseball size

* SUMMARY...
  Numerous severe storms are expected this afternoon and evening
  across the central High Plains with very large hail, intense
  wind gusts, and a few tornadoes possible.

Preparedness actions...

Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility
of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio,
weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch
means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms
over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is
issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an 
interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building.

&&

..Grams.. 07/27/2018

$$

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SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

Public Severe Weather Outlook

PWO Image

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0804 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2018

...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the northern Plains
today and tonight...

* LOCATIONS...
  Much of North Dakota
  Far northern South Dakota
  Eastern Montana

* HAZARDS...
  Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force
  A few tornadoes
  Scattered large hail, some baseball size

* SUMMARY...
  Severe thunderstorms are likely across the northern Plains,
  especially this afternoon and tonight, with the potential for
  very large hail, tornadoes, and widespread damaging winds. Other
  severe storms can be expected across the middle to lower
  Missouri Valley and the Southeast States.

Preparedness actions...

Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility
of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio,
weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch
means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms
over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is
issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an 
interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building.

&&

..Marsh.. 06/28/2018

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SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

Public Severe Weather Outlook

PWO Image

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1208 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2018

...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the central Plains
this afternoon and tonight...

* LOCATIONS...
  Central and eastern Nebraska

* HAZARDS...
  Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force
  A few tornadoes
  Widespread large hail, some baseball size

* SUMMARY...
  Large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes are likely from
  the northern and central Plains into the middle Missouri Valley
  this afternoon into tonight. Severe winds and some hail are also
  expected across parts of the Southeast, with isolated strong to
  severe storms across the southern High Plains.

Preparedness actions...

Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility
of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio,
weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch
means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms
over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is
issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an 
interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building.

&&

..Guyer.. 06/01/2018

$$

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SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

Public Severe Weather Outlook

PWO Image

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2018

...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the northeast US this
afternoon...

* LOCATIONS...
  Southern New York
  Northeast Pennsylvania
  Connecticut
  Massachusetts
  Northern New Jersey
  Northern Rhode Island

* HAZARDS...
  Widespread damaging winds
  A few tornadoes
  Scattered large hail

* SUMMARY...
  Widespread damaging winds, a few tornadoes, and scattered large
  hail are expected across parts of the Northeast States this
  afternoon into early evening.

Preparedness actions...

Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility
of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio,
weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch
means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms
over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is
issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an 
interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building.

&&

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SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

Public Severe Weather Outlook

PWO Image

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0932 AM CDT WED MAY 02 2018

...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the central Plains
this afternoon and tonight...

* LOCATIONS...
  South-central to northeast Kansas
  Northwest Missouri
  Far southeast Nebraska
  Western Oklahoma

* HAZARDS...
  Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force
  A few intense tornadoes
  Scattered large hail, some baseball size

* SUMMARY...
  Severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the southern
  and central Plains into the middle Mississippi Valley today and
  tonight. Swaths of damaging winds, large to very large hail, and
  several tornadoes will be possible, especially from northwest
  Missouri across central Kansas to northwest Oklahoma.

Preparedness actions...

Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility
of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio,
weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch
means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms
over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is
issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an 
interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building.

&&

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