MD 1032 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 311… FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN KS AND SOUTHERN NE
Mesoscale Discussion 1032 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1252 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2020 Areas affected...Portions of northern KS and southern NE Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 311... Valid 280552Z - 280715Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 311 continues. SUMMARY...An isolated large hail and strong to severe wind threat continues across north-central Kansas and southern Nebraska. The need for a downstream watch into northeastern Kansas and southeastern Nebraska remains unclear. DISCUSSION...A small bowing line segment across north-central KS and south-central NE has generally produced 50-55 mph measured wind gusts over the past hour. Additional, somewhat more discrete storms have formed in a low-level warm advection wing farther east across southern NE. The line of storms moving eastward will continue to pose mainly an isolated strong to severe wind gust threat for the next couple of hours across northern KS, as instability remains fairly large downstream of this activity. The semi-discrete storms across southern NE should primarily have an isolated large hail threat initially given steep mid-level lapse rates supporting a large reservoir of MUCAPE in the 2000-3000 J/kg range. But, clustering may eventually reduce this hail threat to some extent. Regardless, a 30-40 kt south-southwesterly low-level jet feeding into both storm regimes may support continued storm intensity for at least the next few hours. The need for a new watch downstream of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 311 remains unclear, but convective trends will continue to be closely monitored. ..Gleason/Grams.. 06/28/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC... LAT...LON 39089942 39149946 39719922 40229936 40449992 40759990 41019802 40969615 40159582 39489580 39059712 39089942
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