MD 1033 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 311… FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN KS AND SOUTHERN NE
Mesoscale Discussion 1033 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2020 Areas affected...Portions of northern KS and southern NE Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 311... Valid 280714Z - 280815Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 311 continues. SUMMARY...Mainly a strong to locally severe wind gust threat persists early this morning. Downstream watch issuance into northeastern Kansas and southeastern Nebraska will probably not be needed. DISCUSSION...Strong outbound velocities have recently been noted from the KUEX radar with a small but well organized bowing line of storms across north-central KS and south-central NE. The semi-discrete storms in a warm advection regime that had earlier been ahead of the line have generally been absorbed within the past hour. With a linear mode now prevalent, strong to locally severe wind gusts should be the main threat through the early morning hours. This wind threat may be somewhat greater along/near the NE/KS border along an instability gradient. A 35-45 kt south-southwesterly low-level jet over the central Plains should peak in the next couple of hours before slowly weakening. Given that the overall wind threat with ongoing storms is expected to remain relatively confined in both areal extent and time, current thoughts are that a downstream watch will probably not be needed. ..Gleason/Grams.. 06/28/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID... LAT...LON 39339802 39959794 40519799 40909830 41179869 41419865 41309770 41099724 40659657 40159604 39519603 39149649 39139786 39339802
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions https://bit.ly/2NAPP4b
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