MD 1304 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 338… FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1304 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0954 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018 Areas affected...Parts of central Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 338... Valid 170254Z - 170430Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 338 continues. SUMMARY...Lingering thunderstorm activity and associated risk for mainly severe hail is expected to gradually diminish late this evening. An additional severe weather watch is not anticipated. DISCUSSION...A low-level baroclinic zone remains a focus for strong to severe thunderstorm development near and east/southeast of Salina. This appears to be supported by a corridor of residual moderate boundary layer instability (CAPE in excess of 2000 J/kg), in the presence of moderate to strong deep layer shear beneath 30-40 kt northwesterly 500 mb flow. With the continuing progression of the mid-level closed low into the middle Mississippi Valley and, perhaps more importantly, continuing boundary layer cooling and gradual stabilization, the lingering risk for severe hail and locally strong surface gusts is expected to diminish through the 04-05Z time frame. ..Kerr.. 08/17/2018 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...ICT... LAT...LON 39019803 38969609 38649496 37639558 37629672 38259796 39019803
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://bit.ly/2vPltm2
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