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SPC MD 1414

MD 1414 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 365… FOR KANSAS

MD 1414 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1414
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0701 PM CDT Sun Sep 02 2018

Areas affected...Kansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 365...

Valid 030001Z - 030200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 365
continues.

SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat will be possible over the next
couple of hours across parts of central and northeastern Kansas.
Wind damage will be the primary severe weather hazard.

DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery shows a large area of
thunderstorms extending from near the Kansas-Oklahoma state line
northward into far southern Nebraska. Numerous multicells are
ongoing in this cluster. This activity has overturned the airmass
across much of central Kansas. A pocket of moderate instability
likely exists a bit further east from near I-35 northeastward to
near Topeka. The RAP is estimating MLCAPE along this corridor in the
2000 to 2500 J/kg range which combined with 0-6 km of 30 kt on the
Topeka WSR-88D VWP should be sufficient for an isolated severe
threat. The instability combined with the moist airmass may result
in a few wet downbursts near severe limits over the next couple of
hours.

..Broyles/Thompson.. 09/03/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

LAT...LON   38579584 37969712 37419831 37339887 37549916 38059932
            38959896 39649831 39919778 39909724 39749560 38579584 

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from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://bit.ly/2C6VxrH

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