MD 0235 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 63… FOR EAST-CENTRAL KS…CENTRAL MO…SOUTHWEST IL
Mesoscale Discussion 0235 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0120 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020 Areas affected...East-Central KS...Central MO...Southwest IL Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 63... Valid 270620Z - 270745Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 63 continues. SUMMARY...Threat for severe hail will continue from far east-central KS across central MO and into southwest IL for the next several hours. DISCUSSION...Recent surface analysis places a low over north-central OK, with a warm front extending east-northeastward across northern portions of southern MO into southern IL. Surface temperatures south of the front are generally in the mid 70s, with dewpoints in the low 60s. Advection of this air mass northward across the frontal zone will provide warm and moist inflow to the ongoing elevated storms, likely allowing for storm persistence for the next few hours. Overall radar presentation of the ongoing storms has trended less cellular and more linear, perhaps as a consequence of the strong, unidirectional vertical shear. Storm motion was estimated easterly at 50 kt, taking the lead storm into the St. Louis area around 0730-0800Z. Despite the linear storm structure and fast storm motion, the threat for damaging wind gusts will remain tempered by low-level stability. As such, the primary threat remains severe hail. Organized character of these storms will likely lead to greater longevity than would otherwise by anticipated as they move into the less-unstable airmass across east-central MO and southwest IL. ..Mosier.. 03/27/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP... LAT...LON 39129527 39289438 39339227 39188949 38728923 38289007 38119427 38259572 39129527
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions https://bit.ly/2Un2tIr
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