MD 0808 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 248… FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN KS AND WEST-CENTRAL INTO SOUTHWESTERN MO
Mesoscale Discussion 0808
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0332 AM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020
Areas affected...Portions of southeastern KS and west-central into
southwestern MO
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 248...
Valid 040832Z - 041000Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 248
continues.
SUMMARY...Strong to locally severe winds may continue with a line of
storms moving southward early this morning.
DISCUSSION...Outflow from a back-building cluster of storms over
central MO has merged with the southward-moving line over
west-central MO and southeastern KS, where the strongest
reflectivity and velocity signatures are currently noted. Occasional
strong to severe wind gusts producing isolated damage have been
observed with this convection over the past couple of hours across
the Kansas City metro area. The greatest near-term threat for
damaging winds appears to be over far southeastern KS and
southwestern MO, where a relatively unstable airmass still resides
(MLCAPE 1000-2000 J/kg). Recent radar trends indicate that a
supercell embedded within the line over Bates County MO has recently
strengthened. Isolated large hail may occur if this supercell can
persist. Some potential for a brief/isolated tornado may also exist
along the leading edge of the line in southwestern MO, where around
100-150 m2/s2 of 0-1 km SRH is present per latest mesoanalysis and
VWP estimates from KSGF.
..Gleason.. 06/04/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 38199590 38179503 38479420 38779364 38049308 37189310
37099490 37469591 38199590
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions https://bit.ly/1o8bRZc
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