SPC MD 988


MD 0988 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 0988
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0326 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2020

Areas affected...Central/Southern KS

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 242026Z - 242230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Storms are developing in an environment supportive of
large hail and strong wind gusts.

DISCUSSION...Recent surface analysis places a weak/diffuse boundary
from northeast CO southeastward across central KS and into far
west-central MO. This boundary is defined primarily by a modest wind
shift. A cumulus field continues to build along and south of the
boundary and convective initiation may be underway with the
development of a deep updraft about 20 miles southwest of RSL.
Environment over the area is characterized by MLCAPE around 1500
J/kg and vertically veering wind profiles with 0-6 km vertical shear
from 30 to 40 kt. These conditions are favorable for storms capable
of large hail and strong downbursts. Overall storm coverage remains
questionable given the lack of large-scale forcing for ascent and
presence of weak height rises. Convective trends will be monitored
closely and a watch may be needed if sufficient storm coverage
appears likely.

..Mosier/Dial.. 06/24/2020

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...


LAT...LON   39290140 38829962 38599653 37509655 37249845 37880159

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from SPC Mesoscale Discussions https://bit.ly/2Vf3YYV

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