Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 AM CST Sun Nov 04 2018 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES TO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION... ...SUMMARY... A few strong to severe storms with locally strong wind gusts and perhaps a couple of tornadoes will be possible from a portion of the Southeast States to the Middle Atlantic region. ...A portion of the Southeast States to Middle Atlantic... Showers and thunderstorms will be ongoing along and just ahead of a cold front from the OH Valley into the Gulf Coast states with an ongoing modest risk for isolated damaging wind. Surface low will shift from the OH Valley into the lower Great Lakes as the attendant shortwave trough advances northeast. Some of the thunderstorms may weaken/dissipate as they cross the Appalachians. Redevelopment may occur, especially from the central/eastern Carolinas into the eastern Middle Atlantic during the afternoon where greater destabilization is possible in association with northward advection of richer low-level moisture. The kinematic environment will support organized convection along/ahead of the cold front. However, widespread clouds and weak instability will probably serve as overall limiting factors for a more robust severe threat. ..Dial.. 11/04/2018
from SPC Convective Outlooks http://bit.ly/1N3UAJB
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