MD 0103 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 29… FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 0103 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 AM CST Wed Jan 25 2023 Areas affected...parts of southwestern Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle Concerning...Tornado Watch 29... Valid 250807Z - 251000Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 29 continues. SUMMARY...Tornado potential is maximized at this time within coastal counties near and east of Mobile Bay. DISCUSSION...Examination of radar data over the past hour continues to reveal small, rotating storms developing over the northern Gulf, to the east of the frontal convective band. However, as these northeastward-moving cells move inland, only a very small warm sector is available, near and south of a warm front that currently extends from just north of Mobile Bay southeastward to near Valparaiso and then offshore. Tornado potential remains confined to this warm sector, with updraft rotation quickly diminishing/dissipating with northeastward extent as cells cross the warm front and continue inland atop an increasingly stable boundary layer. As such, tornado potential remains confined to coastal counties within the watch. Within these counties, brief tornadoes remain possible. Little northward advance of the warm front is occurring, and thus risk currently remains contained within WW 29. Will will continue to monitor evolution of surface conditions -- particularly any northward advance of the warm front inland/onshore east of the watch -- as it pertains to possible/future WW issuance. ..Goss.. 01/25/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB... LAT...LON 29938804 30548781 30988752 30658652 30348607 29908622 29868735 29938804