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Mesoscale Discussion 1686 | |
Mesoscale Discussion 1686 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CDT Thu Sep 02 2021 Areas affected...portions of south central Nebraska into northern Kansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 487... Valid 030000Z - 030130Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 487 continues. SUMMARY...A couple tornadoes and damaging gusts remain possible with the more sustained supercell updrafts over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...KUEX and MRMS mosaic radar data depict multiple supercells with transient low-level rotation in progress from Kearney to Harlan Counties in NE, with more isolated attempts at updraft intensification noted as far southwest as Gove County KS. These storms are moving into a partially modified airmass, where 1500+ J/kg MLCAPE are common, but within a narrow corridor ahead of the storms. However 50+ kts of effective bulk shear and 200+ m2/s2 effective SRH are present within this narrow corridor, which will promote additional instances of low-level rotation supporting brief tornado and damaging gust potential with the more robust, longer-lived supercells, especially along the KS/NE border. ..Squitieri/Guyer.. 09/03/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD... LAT...LON 38650076 39569994 40619963 41319928 41509836 41169771 40569751 39929767 39159810 38769847 38509910 38439966 38420029 38650076 |
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