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SPC MD 1852

MD 1852 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 548… FOR NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA

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Mesoscale Discussion 1852
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0806 PM CDT Fri Sep 30 2022

Areas affected...Northeastern North Carolina and Southeastern
Virginia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 548...

Valid 010106Z - 010200Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 548 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe risk across northeastern North Carolina into
Southeastern Virginia is expected this evening and overnight. A
replacement Tornado Watch is not anticipated.

DISCUSSION...Conditions are becoming less favorable for an organized
severe threat to continue into the evening and overnight. Buoyancy
has decreased with drier being pulled in from the southwest across
northeastern North Carolina. Meanwhile, the northern extent of
surface based destabilization has been very slow across far
southeast Virginia. Expect these trends to continue further
northward in the next few hours with buoyancy becoming largely
offshore and displaced from shear further inland.

..Thornton.. 10/01/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...

LAT...LON   36317574 36137629 36097692 36337738 36777752 36997748
            37377703 37547680 37737642 37687604 37587571 37287556
            36317574 

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