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SPC Aug 2, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0754 PM CDT Mon Aug 01 2022

Valid 020100Z - 021200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN INDIANA...KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN OHIO...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms, with damaging gusts will
be possible into tonight across parts of the Ohio Valley.  Isolated
severe gusts and large hail also are possible across parts of
northern Nebraska to western Iowa for a few more hours this evening.

...Ohio Valley Vicinity...

Minor adjustments have been made to the Marginal and Slight risk
areas based on ongoing convective trends and latest model guidance.
The severe threat may largely be confined to western portions of the
Slight risk area. However, additional storms are developing further
east across southern OH, and also upstream across northern Ohio as
another shortwave impulse is ejecting across the region this
evening. Given uncertainty in evolution of the severe threat into
the early overnight hours, will maintain severe probabilities for
much of the region.

...Mid-MS Valley vicinity...

Marginal risk probabilities have been removed from parts of
east-central MO and west-central IL. Little if any convection is
expected to develop along this corridor near the MS River the
remainder of the period. 

...Nebraska/Iowa...

Isolated strong to severe storms are ongoing across parts of
northern NE this evening. This activity may persist and/or increase
as it spreads east the next several hours. Only minor adjustments to
the Marginal risk have been made across Iowa.

..Leitman.. 08/02/2022

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