SPC MD 1599

MD 1599 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA…WESTERN OH AND ADJACENT NORTHERN KY TO SOUTHEAST LOWER MI

MD 1599 Image


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1599
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1227 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...WESTERN OH AND ADJACENT
NORTHERN KY TO SOUTHEAST LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 271727Z - 271930Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST OH INCLUDING THE
ADJACENT COUNTIES IN NORTHERN KY IN VICINITY OF THE CINCINNATI METRO
AREA...WHILE THIS POTENTIAL ALSO EXTENDS NORTH THROUGH WESTERN OH TO
SOUTHEAST LOWER MI.  A LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUST OR TWO...AND/OR
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THREAT WILL BE THE GREATEST CONCERNS...THOUGH
OVERALL SEVERE-WEATHER RISK SHOULD TEND TO REMAIN LOW.  IF TRENDS IN
STORM INTENSITY ACROSS A LARGER AREA INCREASE...THEN A WATCH COULD
NOT BE RULED OUT.

DISCUSSION...MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY AND COOLING CLOUD TOPS PER IR
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED STORMS INCREASING IN INTENSITY FROM
SOUTHEAST INDIANA NORTHWARD IN VICINITY AND EITHER SIDE OF THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN INDIANA/OHIO BORDER AREAS.  THIS RECENT
INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE OCCURRING AS
NNE-SSW ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...ATTENDANT TO MORNING
THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS OVER SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL TO NORTHEAST
INDIANA...ADVANCED EASTWARD INTO A DESTABILIZING AIR MASS.  VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EAST OF THE RECENT
INITIATION OF STORMS ALLOWING FOR ADDITIONAL SURFACE HEATING...WITH
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATING TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOWER 80S IN
SOUTHEAST LOWER MI TO AROUND 90 IN THE CINCINNATI METRO AREA.  THIS
HAS RESULTED IN THE FURTHER EROSION OF SURFACE-BASED INHIBITION THAT
WAS DETECTED ON THE 12Z ILN SOUNDING.  CU DEVELOPMENT PER VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY ACROSS SOUTHERN AND WESTERN OH TO FAR SOUTHEAST
LOWER MI IS A FURTHER INDICATION OF THE ONGOING STRONG
DESTABILIZATION AND ELIMINATION OF THE INHIBITION.

SURFACE STREAMLINE ANALYSES INDICATED A CORRIDOR OF CONFLUENCE ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE STORMS EXTENDING FROM SOUTHEAST INDIANA TO
SOUTHEAST LOWER MI...WHILE FORCING FOR ASCENT IS BEING AUGMENTED BY
A COUPLE OF MIDLEVEL IMPULSES TRACKING TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THIS
REGION.  VAD DATA SHOWED STRONGER BULK SHEAR INTO NORTHWEST
OH/SOUTHEAST LOWER MI...WITH SHEAR TENDING TO BE WEAKER WITH
SOUTHWARD EXTENT.  HOWEVER...STRONGER INSTABILITY INTO WESTERN AND
SOUTHWEST OH...AND APPARENT COLD-POOL ENHANCEMENT TO THE CLUSTER OF
STORMS IN SOUTHEAST INDIANA MAY INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY
STRONG WINDS MOVING INTO SOUTHWEST OH...ADJACENT NORTHERN KY AND THE
CINCINNATI METRO AREA THROUGH 19-20Z.  FARTHER NORTH...STRONGER BULK
SHEAR MAY COMPENSATE SOME FOR MARGINAL INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.

..PETERS/GUYER.. 08/27/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...LMK...IWX...IND...

LAT...LON   38658533 39108520 39568523 40248488 41098454 41538437
            42338377 42438331 42288305 41448297 40888319 39998341
            39098341 38788350 38538386 38478470 38658533 

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SPC MD 1598

MD 1598 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 458… FOR PARTS OF NW INTO N CNTRL MO

MD 1598 Image


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1598
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0935 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NW INTO N CNTRL MO

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 458...

VALID 270235Z - 270330Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 458 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...AN ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

DISCUSSION...THE FORWARD PROPAGATING PORTION OF THE ONGOING
CONVECTIVE CLUSTER...NOW ADVANCING ACROSS/NORTHEAST OF
CHILLICOTHE...APPEARS TO BE IN THE PROCESS OF WEAKENING.  AS
BOUNDARY LAYER INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO WANE...THERE APPEARS LITTLE
SUPPORT FOR SUBSTANTIVE FURTHER RE-INTENSIFICATION.  VIGOROUS
THUNDERSTORMS DO PERSIST IN A NARROW BAND NEAR AND TO THE COOL SIDE
OF THE TRAILING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE KANSAS
CITY AREA.  WHILE IT MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT THIS
ACTIVITY COULD GENERATE SOME STRONG SURFACE GUSTS BEFORE DIMINISHING
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...IN
GENERAL...SEEMS LOW ENOUGH TO ALLOW THE TORNADO WATCH TO EXPIRE AS
SCHEDULED AT 03Z.

..KERR.. 08/27/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...

LAT...LON   39279485 39989406 40189313 39589235 38599426 38769508
            39279485 

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SPC MD 1595

MD 1595 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH LIKELY FOR ERN KS / WRN AND NWRN MO

MD 1595 Image


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1595
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS / WRN AND NWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

VALID 261854Z - 262100Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND THE STRONGER
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF ISOLATED LARGE HAIL/SEVERE GUSTS.  A
TORNADIC SUPERCELL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.  WILL MONITOR THE AREA FOR THE
POSSIBILITY FOR A TORNADO WATCH PERHAPS BEING NEEDED BY 21Z.

DISCUSSION...VISIBLE-SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPANSIVE CU FIELD
ACROSS ERN KS INTO WRN MO AND SEVERAL TRANSVERSE WAVES ARE ALSO
IMPLIED.  ALTHOUGH THE BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINS WEAKLY
CAPPED...SWELLING CU IS LOCATED NEAR TOPEKA WHERE STREAMLINE
ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THE STRONGEST LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE IS OCCURRING
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  SURFACE TEMPS HAVE WARMED TO NEAR 80 DEG F
AND ADDITIONAL HEATING WILL OCCUR AS SURFACE DEWPOINTS REMAIN NEAR
70 DEG F.  EASTERLY COMPONENT TO THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW VEERS
CONSIDERABLY IN THE LOWEST 1-2 KM AGL WHILE STRENGTHENING WITH
HEIGHT PER KTWX AND KEAX WSR-88D VAD DATA.  THIS STRENGTHENING AND
VEERING FLOW WITH HEIGHT AGREES WITH THE DEPICTION OF THE WIND
PROFILE FROM RECENT RAP MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS ERN KS/WRN
MO.  ONCE SURFACE-BASED THUNDERSTORM INITIATION OCCURS...THE
STRONGER DEVELOPING UPDRAFTS WILL LIKELY ACQUIRE ROTATION AND BECOME
SUPERCELLS.  AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL/SEVERE GUSTS
WILL ACCOMPANY THE MORE INTENSE CORES.  SHORT-TERM
CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A CELLULAR MODE AT
LEAST EARLY DURING THE STORM LIFECYCLE.  GIVEN THESE FACTORS...A
SUPERCELL-TORNADO RISK MAY DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING.

..SMITH/GUYER.. 08/26/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...

LAT...LON   38739557 38839649 39279684 39829663 40199492 39839396
            39119374 38739557 

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Flood Advisory issued August 25 at 6:53AM CDT until August 26 at 5:17AM CDT by NWS

NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-KS12560ED1C2A4.FloodAdvisory.12560EE0CFC4KS.TOPFLSTOP.c7e37442df4a1c5310a1babb2957a509 w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov 2016-08-25T06:53:00-05:00 Actual Alert Public Alert for Ottawa; Pottawatomie; Riley; Washington (Kansas) Issued by the National Weather Service Met Flood Advisory Expected Minor Likely SAME 2016-08-25T06:53:00-05:00 2016-08-26T05:17:00-05:00 NWS Topeka (Northeastern Kansas) Flood Advisory issued August 25 at 6:53AM CDT until August 26 at 5:17AM CDT by NWS Topeka THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR… GEARY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS… CLAY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS… SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS… SOUTHWESTERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN KANSAS… SOUTHEASTERN CLOUD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS… NORTHEASTERN OTTAWA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS… RILEY COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN KANSAS… NORTHERN DICKINSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS… SOUTHWESTERN POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN KANSAS… * UNTIL 845 AM CDT * AT 652 AM CDT…DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA. SOME LOCATIONS HAVE RECEIVED ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER THE LAST HOUR OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE… MANHATTAN…JUNCTION CITY…ABILENE…CLAY CENTER…OGDEN… GRANDVIEW PLAZA…CHAPMAN…WAKEFIELD…RILEY…ENTERPRISE… WATERVILLE…CLIFTON…MILTONVALE…MILFORD…LEONARDVILLE… OLSBURG…MORGANVILLE…RANDOLPH…GREEN AND MANCHESTER. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 274 AND 315. TURN AROUND…DON`T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. WMOHEADER UGC KSC027-029-041-061-117-143-149-161-201 VTEC /O.NEW.KTOP.FA.Y.0024.160825T1153Z-160825T1345Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TIME…MOT…LOC
Ottawa; Pottawatomie; Riley; Washington 39.5,-97.58 39.71,-96.7 39.06,-96.51 38.8,-97.17 39.5,-97.58 FIPS6 020143 FIPS6 020149 FIPS6 020161 FIPS6 020201 UGC KSC143 UGC KSC149 UGC KSC161 UGC KSC201

Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued August 24 at 5:31PM CDT until August 24 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS

NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-KS12560EC4257C.SevereThunderstormWatch.12560ED09C80KS.TOPWCNTOP.d168e516f6e13702bc40fe3c713c8917 w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov 2016-08-24T17:31:00-05:00 Actual Alert Public Alert for Anderson; Coffey; Dickinson; Douglas; Franklin; Geary; Jackson; Jefferson; Lyon; Morris; Osage; Pottawatomie; Riley; Shawnee; Wabaunsee (Kansas) Issued by the National Weather Service Met Severe Thunderstorm Watch Expected Severe Likely SAME SVA 2016-08-24T17:31:00-05:00 2016-08-24T23:00:00-05:00 NWS Topeka (Northeastern Kansas) Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued August 24 at 5:31PM CDT until August 24 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS Topeka SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 455 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN KANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 15 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL KANSAS DICKINSON IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS ANDERSON COFFEY DOUGLAS FRANKLIN GEARY LYON MORRIS OSAGE SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE IN NORTHEAST KANSAS JACKSON JEFFERSON POTTAWATOMIE RILEY THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…ABILENE…ALMA…ALTA VISTA… BURLINGAME…BURLINGTON…CARBONDALE…COUNCIL GROVE…EMPORIA… ESKRIDGE…GARNETT…GRANTVILLE…HARVEYVILLE…HERINGTON… HOLTON…JUNCTION CITY…LAWRENCE…LEBO…LYNDON…MANHATTAN… MAPLE HILL…MCFARLAND…MCLOUTH…MERIDEN…NORTONVILLE… OSAGE CITY…OSKALOOSA…OTTAWA…OVERBROOK…PAXICO…PERRY… ST. MARYS…TOPEKA…VALLEY FALLS AND WAMEGO. WMOHEADER UGC KSC003-031-041-045-059-061-085-087-111-127-139-149-161-177-197 VTEC /O.CON.KTOP.SV.A.0455.000000T0000Z-160825T0400Z/ TIME…MOT…LOC
Anderson; Coffey; Dickinson; Douglas; Franklin; Geary; Jackson; Jefferson; Lyon; Morris; Osage; Pottawatomie; Riley; Shawnee; Wabaunsee FIPS6 020003 FIPS6 020031 FIPS6 020041 FIPS6 020045 FIPS6 020059 FIPS6 020061 FIPS6 020085 FIPS6 020087 FIPS6 020111 FIPS6 020127 FIPS6 020139 FIPS6 020149 FIPS6 020161 FIPS6 020177 FIPS6 020197 UGC KSC003 UGC KSC031 UGC KSC041 UGC KSC045 UGC KSC059 UGC KSC061 UGC KSC085 UGC KSC087 UGC KSC111 UGC KSC127 UGC KSC139 UGC KSC149 UGC KSC161 UGC KSC177 UGC KSC197

Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued August 24 at 4:45PM CDT until August 24 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS

NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-KS12560EC403E4.SevereThunderstormWatch.12560ED09C80KS.WNSWOU5.49cc1ec40b71ebfc61a9c4fb12809741 w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov 2016-08-24T16:45:00-05:00 Actual Alert Public Alert for Allen; Anderson; Atchison; Butler; Chase; Chautauqua; Coffey; Cowley; Dickinson; Doniphan; Douglas; Elk; Franklin; Geary; Greenwood; Harper; Harvey; Jackson; Jefferson; Johnson; Kingman; Leavenworth; Linn; Lyon; Marion; McPherson; Miami; Morris; Osage; Pottawatomie; Reno; Riley; Sedgwick; Shawnee; Sumner; Wabaunsee; Wilson; Woodson; Wyandotte (Kansas) Issued by the National Weather Service Met Severe Thunderstorm Watch Expected Severe Likely SAME SVA 2016-08-24T16:45:00-05:00 2016-08-24T23:00:00-05:00 NWS Storm Prediction Center (Storm Prediction Center – Norman, Oklahoma) Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued August 24 at 4:45PM CDT until August 24 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS Storm Prediction Center SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 455 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA COFFEY COWLEY DICKINSON DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELK FRANKLIN GEARY GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON KINGMAN LEAVENWORTH LINN LYON MARION MCPHERSON MIAMI MORRIS OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE RENO RILEY SEDGWICK SHAWNEE SUMNER WABAUNSEE WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE WMOHEADER UGC KSC001-003-005-015-017-019-031-035-041-043-045-049-059-061-073-077-079-085-087-091-095-103-107-111-113-115-121-127-139-149-155-161-173-177-191-197-205-207-209 VTEC /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0455.160824T2145Z-160825T0400Z/ TIME…MOT…LOC
Allen; Anderson; Atchison; Butler; Chase; Chautauqua; Coffey; Cowley; Dickinson; Doniphan; Douglas; Elk; Franklin; Geary; Greenwood; Harper; Harvey; Jackson; Jefferson; Johnson; Kingman; Leavenworth; Linn; Lyon; Marion; McPherson; Miami; Morris; Osage; Pottawatomie; Reno; Riley; Sedgwick; Shawnee; Sumner; Wabaunsee; Wilson; Woodson; Wyandotte FIPS6 020001 FIPS6 020003 FIPS6 020005 FIPS6 020015 FIPS6 020017 FIPS6 020019 FIPS6 020031 FIPS6 020035 FIPS6 020041 FIPS6 020043 FIPS6 020045 FIPS6 020049 FIPS6 020059 FIPS6 020061 FIPS6 020073 FIPS6 020077 FIPS6 020079 FIPS6 020085 FIPS6 020087 FIPS6 020091 FIPS6 020095 FIPS6 020103 FIPS6 020107 FIPS6 020111 FIPS6 020113 FIPS6 020115 FIPS6 020121 FIPS6 020127 FIPS6 020139 FIPS6 020149 FIPS6 020155 FIPS6 020161 FIPS6 020173 FIPS6 020177 FIPS6 020191 FIPS6 020197 FIPS6 020205 FIPS6 020207 FIPS6 020209 UGC KSC001 UGC KSC003 UGC KSC005 UGC KSC015 UGC KSC017 UGC KSC019 UGC KSC031 UGC KSC035 UGC KSC041 UGC KSC043 UGC KSC045 UGC KSC049 UGC KSC059 UGC KSC061 UGC KSC073 UGC KSC077 UGC KSC079 UGC KSC085 UGC KSC087 UGC KSC091 UGC KSC095 UGC KSC103 UGC KSC107 UGC KSC111 UGC KSC113 UGC KSC115 UGC KSC121 UGC KSC127 UGC KSC139 UGC KSC149 UGC KSC155 UGC KSC161 UGC KSC173 UGC KSC177 UGC KSC191 UGC KSC197 UGC KSC205 UGC KSC207 UGC KSC209

SPC MD 1581

MD 1581 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS SOUTHERN/EASTERN KS AND WESTERN MO

MD 1581 Image


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1581
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0323 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SOUTHERN/EASTERN KS AND WESTERN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 242023Z - 242200Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW SEVERE
STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS A
TORNADO LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED
IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

DISCUSSION...SUPER-RAPID SCAN 1-MINUTE SATELLITE DATA REVEAL A
RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY STRETCHING FROM NORTHEASTERN MO
WEST/SOUTHWESTWARD INTO KS WHERE IT EVENTUALLY MERGES WITH A SFC
TROUGH/COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL KS. THE WARM-SECTOR CU FIELD TO THE
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF THESE BOUNDARIES CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE THIS
AFTERNOON...AIDED BY ONGOING HEATING AND THE APPROACH OF A SUBTLE
MID-LEVEL IMPULSE OVER THE TX PANHANDLE. 

WHERE CLOUDS HAVE THINNED/CLEARED...SFC TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S/LOWER
90S AND DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S ARE SUPPORTING
MODERATE BUOYANCY...WITH MLCAPE VALUES AROUND 1500-2500 J/KG. WHILE
THE KINEMATIC PROFILE IS CHARACTERIZED BY RELATIVELY UNIDIRECTIONAL
FLOW...STRONG MID/HIGH-LEVEL SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLIES WILL BE FAVORABLE
FOR A FEW ORGANIZED/ROTATING UPDRAFTS...AS WELL AS AMPLE VENTING OF
THESE UPDRAFTS. IN TURN...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONGER CORES...AND A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT AS WELL. CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR
POSSIBLE WATCH ISSUANCE IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

..PICCA/WEISS.. 08/24/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...DDC...

LAT...LON   37029822 37239560 37519295 39069288 39549368 39359746
            38809838 37559907 37229899 37079859 37029822 

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Flash Flood Watch issued August 24 at 2:13PM CDT until August 25 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS

NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-KS12560EC3A944.FlashFloodWatch.12560ED1D500KS.TOPFFATOP.3f4528514ad75842a8f6162ac3e3eb04 w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov 2016-08-24T14:13:00-05:00 Actual Alert Public Alert for Brown; Clay; Cloud; Jackson; Marshall; Nemaha; Pottawatomie; Riley (Kansas) Issued by the National Weather Service Met Flash Flood Watch Expected Severe Possible SAME FFA 2016-08-24T14:13:00-05:00 2016-08-25T07:00:00-05:00 NWS Topeka (Northeastern Kansas) Flash Flood Watch issued August 24 at 2:13PM CDT until August 25 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Topeka …FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING… THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND NORTHEAST KANSAS… INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS…IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS…CLAY AND CLOUD. IN NORTHEAST KANSAS…BROWN…JACKSON…MARSHALL… NEMAHA…POTTAWATOMIE AND RILEY. * FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * A FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT… PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. WITH HIGH RAINFALL RATES POSSIBLE…THESE STORMS MAY POTENTIALLY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY CAUSE SOME FLASH FLOODING. LOCATIONS FROM A CONCORDIA TO HOLTON LINE HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM STORMS ON TUESDAY…AND WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. WMOHEADER UGC KSZ010>012-020>024 VTEC /O.CON.KTOP.FF.A.0003.160825T0000Z-160825T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TIME…MOT…LOC
Brown; Clay; Cloud; Jackson; Marshall; Nemaha; Pottawatomie; Riley FIPS6 020013 FIPS6 020027 FIPS6 020029 FIPS6 020085 FIPS6 020117 FIPS6 020131 FIPS6 020149 FIPS6 020161 UGC KSZ010 UGC KSZ011 UGC KSZ012 UGC KSZ020 UGC KSZ021 UGC KSZ022 UGC KSZ023 UGC KSZ024

Flash Flood Watch issued August 24 at 11:26AM CDT until August 25 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS

NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-KS12560EC33928.FlashFloodWatch.12560ED1D500KS.TOPFFATOP.3f4528514ad75842a8f6162ac3e3eb04 w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov 2016-08-24T11:26:00-05:00 Actual Alert Public Alert for Brown; Clay; Cloud; Jackson; Marshall; Nemaha; Pottawatomie; Riley (Kansas) Issued by the National Weather Service Met Flash Flood Watch Expected Severe Possible SAME FFA 2016-08-24T11:26:00-05:00 2016-08-25T07:00:00-05:00 NWS Topeka (Northeastern Kansas) Flash Flood Watch issued August 24 at 11:26AM CDT until August 25 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Topeka …FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING… THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND NORTHEAST KANSAS… INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS…IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS…CLAY AND CLOUD. IN NORTHEAST KANSAS…BROWN…JACKSON…MARSHALL… NEMAHA…POTTAWATOMIE AND RILEY. * FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * A FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT… PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO POTENTIALLY MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS AND GENERATE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING. LOCATIONS FROM A CONCORDIA TO HOLTON LINE HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM STORMS ON TUESDAY…AND WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. WMOHEADER UGC KSZ010>012-020>024 VTEC /O.CON.KTOP.FF.A.0003.160825T0000Z-160825T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TIME…MOT…LOC
Brown; Clay; Cloud; Jackson; Marshall; Nemaha; Pottawatomie; Riley FIPS6 020013 FIPS6 020027 FIPS6 020029 FIPS6 020085 FIPS6 020117 FIPS6 020131 FIPS6 020149 FIPS6 020161 UGC KSZ010 UGC KSZ011 UGC KSZ012 UGC KSZ020 UGC KSZ021 UGC KSZ022 UGC KSZ023 UGC KSZ024

Flash Flood Watch issued August 24 at 4:04AM CDT until August 25 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS

NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-KS12560EC21F20.FlashFloodWatch.12560ED1D500KS.TOPFFATOP.3f4528514ad75842a8f6162ac3e3eb04 w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov 2016-08-24T04:04:00-05:00 Actual Alert Public Alert for Brown; Clay; Cloud; Jackson; Marshall; Nemaha; Pottawatomie; Riley (Kansas) Issued by the National Weather Service Met Flash Flood Watch Expected Severe Possible SAME FFA 2016-08-24T04:04:00-05:00 2016-08-25T07:00:00-05:00 NWS Topeka (Northeastern Kansas) Flash Flood Watch issued August 24 at 4:04AM CDT until August 25 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Topeka …FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING… THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND NORTHEAST KANSAS…INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS…IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS…CLAY AND CLOUD. IN NORTHEAST KANSAS…BROWN… JACKSON…MARSHALL…NEMAHA…POTTAWATOMIE AND RILEY. * FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING * A FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT…PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO POTENTIALLY MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS AND GENERATE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING. LOCATIONS FROM A CONCORDIA TO HOLTON LINE HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM TUESDAYS STORMS…AND WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. WMOHEADER UGC KSZ010>012-020>024 VTEC /O.NEW.KTOP.FF.A.0003.160825T0000Z-160825T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TIME…MOT…LOC
Brown; Clay; Cloud; Jackson; Marshall; Nemaha; Pottawatomie; Riley FIPS6 020013 FIPS6 020027 FIPS6 020029 FIPS6 020085 FIPS6 020117 FIPS6 020131 FIPS6 020149 FIPS6 020161 UGC KSZ010 UGC KSZ011 UGC KSZ012 UGC KSZ020 UGC KSZ021 UGC KSZ022 UGC KSZ023 UGC KSZ024