SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1017 AM CST Sat Mar 12 2022 Valid 121630Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... A few thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and an isolated tornado are possible over central Florida this afternoon. ...Eastern NC... A strong cold front and an accompanying line of intense thunderstorms that affect the Carolinas this morning has move offshore, ending the severe threat in that area. ...Central FL... Farther south, the same cold front is sagging slowly southward across central FL. Scattered strong storms continue along this line, with occasional strong/damaging wind gusts being reported. 12z model guidance suggests this activity will weaken during the afternoon as large scale support departs the region. Recent IR cloud top and lightning trends suggest this trend has already started. Nevertheless, an isolated severe threat may persist into mid-afternoon. ..Hart/Weinman.. 03/12/2022
