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SPC May 22, 2023 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0738 PM CDT Sun May 21 2023

Valid 220100Z - 221200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST INTO WESTERN MONTANA...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible across portions of
the interior Northwest this evening. Large hail and isolated
damaging gusts will be the primary hazards.

...01z Update...

Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable short-wave
trough advancing inland along the WA/OR Coast. Leading edge of
large-scale ascent appears to be spreading across eastern WA/OR at
this time. Two main corridors of organized convection have evolved
ahead of the short wave. The northern-most area extends from
northeast WA/northern ID into southeast BC. The second extends from
southeast OR into central ID. Strongest buoyancy arcs from southeast
BC into central ID, with weaker instability observed into the
northern Great Basin due to poorer low-level moisture. 00z soundings
from OTX and BOI/LKN exemplify this CAPE field, but steep lapse
rates are noted across most of the interior northwest. As height
falls spread inland, and 500mb flow strengthens into the northern
Rockies, this activity should propagate toward western MT later this
evening. Hail/gusty winds remain the dominant threats.

..Darrow.. 05/22/2023

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