Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CDT Tue May 07 2024 Valid 101200Z - 151200Z ...DISCUSSION... Isolated severe potential on Day 4/Friday should remain confined to parts of north FL and vicinity along/ahead of a cold front. The overall environment and limited spatial extent of the threat does not appear sufficient to justify including a 15% severe area at this time. Generally low severe potential is anticipated on Day 5/Saturday, although some strong thunderstorms may still occur across parts of the FL Peninsula where the cold front stalls. Guidance generally indicates low-level moisture should attempt to return northward across parts of the southern Plains around Day 6/Sunday and continuing into early next week. But, generally zonal mid-level flow across this region, with a weak upper low over the Great Basin/Southwest, suggests that whatever severe potential ultimately develops across the southern Plains may tend to remain fairly isolated.
