MD 1010 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 279… FOR SOUTHERN OK/NORTH TX INTO THE ARKLATEX
Mesoscale Discussion 1010 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0539 AM CDT Tue Jun 13 2023 Areas affected...Southern OK/North TX into the ArkLaTex Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 279... Valid 131039Z - 131215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 279 continues. SUMMARY...The threat for hail and localized strong/damaging gusts will spread east-southeastward this morning. DISCUSSION...Two elevated supercells have evolved early this morning, within a moderately unstable (MUCAPE greater than 2000 J/kg) and favorably sheared (effective shear of 50+ kt) environment. One is ongoing northwest of Fort Worth, while the other has recently crossed the Red River into Fannin County, TX. Elongated hodographs will continue to support a large hail threat with these supercells, with the western-most cell potentially affecting northern parts of the Metroplex through 12Z. In addition to the ongoing supercells, a few strong to potentially severe storms may evolve out of gradually increasing elevated convection across south-central OK, before convection likely becomes focused closer to the ArkLaTex later this morning. Some eventual clustering of storms remains possible, which could potentially increase the threat for locally damaging gusts as convection spreads east-southeastward with time. ..Dean.. 06/13/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 34539813 34539600 34099389 32919356 32449429 32539590 32639716 32809786 32979815 34539813