MD 0170 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 39… FOR FAR NORTHERN ALABAMA INTO MIDDLE/EASTERN TENNESSEE
Mesoscale Discussion 0170 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0557 PM CST Thu Feb 16 2023 Areas affected...Far northern Alabama into Middle/Eastern Tennessee Concerning...Tornado Watch 39... Valid 162357Z - 170130Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 39 continues. SUMMARY...A strong to locally severe storm or two remains possible in Middle/Eastern Tennessee and possibly northeast Alabama this evening. Increasingly poor thermodynamics should preclude additional watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Convective trends have generally shown a decrease in storm intensity and organization over the past 1-2 hours. A storm will persistent mid-level rotation has recently dissipated east of Nashville. A couple of stronger storms remain in Middle Tennessee. These storms may maintain some intensity for another hour or two given marginally warm temperatures (around 70 F) in the Chattanooga vicinity. Damaging winds and marginally severe hail are the main threats, though a brief tornado could also occur. Otherwise, precipitation ahead of the stronger activity combined with drier air will limit buoyancy as storms move eastward. While a local extension in time of WW 39 is possible depending on observational trends, additional watch issuance is not expected this evening. ..Wendt.. 02/16/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...HUN... LAT...LON 35118524 34838548 34578573 34408624 34308698 34438706 35068713 35718652 36378541 36478482 36328445 35838454 35118524