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SPC MD 198

MD 0198 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 28…29… FOR NORTHERN MISSOURI

MD 0198 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 0198
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0633 PM CST Sat Mar 05 2022

Areas affected...northern Missouri

Concerning...Tornado Watch 28...29...

Valid 060033Z - 060200Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 28, 29 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe/isolated tornado potential continues across
northern Missouri.

DISCUSSION...Isolated, pre-frontal convective cells have remained
somewhat subdued over the past hour, in terms of both coverage and
intensity.  However, as the cold front continues moving east of the
Kansas City metro area, linear convective development/organization
is ongoing.  This line of storms should continue advancing eastward
over the next few hours, and will likely exit the watch between 02
and 0230Z per latest extrapolation, with the northern -- and likely
to be stronger -- portion of the line then entering newly issued
Tornado Watch 29 over northeastern Missouri.  We will continue to
monitor areas south of these two watches, but current thinking is
that a more anafrontal/undercut nature will prevail with southward
extent, which should limit severe potential.

..Goss.. 03/06/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...

LAT...LON   38579423 39669366 40089321 40589167 40179105 39639109
            38739258 38569325 38579423 

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