MD 0202 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 30… FOR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN/NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Mesoscale Discussion 0202 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1032 PM CST Sat Mar 05 2022 Areas affected...southern Wisconsin/northern Illinois Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30... Valid 060432Z - 060600Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30 continues. SUMMARY...Risk for damaging winds, and a brief tornado, continues across WW 30. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a semi-continuous line of thunderstorms moving east-northeastward at around 50kt across southern Wisconsin and northern Illinois. The storms remain west of the Milwaukee and Chicago metro areas, but will affect these areas within the next hour. While instability continues to gradually diminish, now at or below 500 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE, very strong southwesterly flow aloft -- in excess of 60 kt at 1 km and increasing to 80 kt at mid levels -- will support continued risk for damaging winds. Observation sites over northern Illinois have reported gusts in the 55 to 70 kt range in the past half hour, and expect severe-caliber gusts to affect the Milwaukee area soon, and portions of the Chicago suburbs shortly thereafter. ..Goss.. 03/06/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN... LAT...LON 43308853 43148790 42328761 41288765 40368846 40078923 40308968 41218923 42048849 42618852 43308853