MD 0213 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 34… FOR PARTS OF ARKANSAS AND INTO ADJACENT SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 0213
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1048 PM CST Sun Mar 06 2022
Areas affected...parts of Arkansas and into adjacent southeastern
Missouri
Concerning...Tornado Watch 34...
Valid 070448Z - 070645Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 34 continues.
SUMMARY...Severe risk -- including brief QLCS tornadoes and locally
damaging wind gusts -- continues.
DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows convection continuing to
consolidate into a loosely organized band of frontal convection,
stretching from southeastern Missouri to western Arkansas. The
strongest storms within the band remain over the Ozarks at this
time, where local/transient QLCS-type rotational signatures and
small-scale bowing segments have occurred over the past hour.
Farther to the southwest, storms have remained generally weaker/less
organized, though the environment remains supportive of occasionally
severe updrafts.
Convection remains generally well-contained within the watch. While
limited potential may spread east of the southeastern borders of the
current watch, the more robust convection farther north should
remain within WW boundaries for a couple more hours. Though frontal
storms will likely continue through the night, CAM guidance suggests
a decrease in storm intensity -- and thus overall severe potential
-- with time. As such, need for a downstream WW into parts of
western Kentucky/western Tennessee remains uncertain at this time.
..Goss.. 03/07/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...SHV...
LAT...LON 37608957 37258850 36098914 35798975 35569062 34689211
34309360 34349409 35079345 36849194 37559101 37608957
