MD 0287 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST GA…NORTHERN FL
Mesoscale Discussion 0287 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Sat Mar 19 2022 Areas affected...Southeast GA...Northern FL Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 192202Z - 200000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Gusty winds and marginally severe hail are possible early this evening. WW is unlikely. DISCUSSION...Strong boundary-layer heating has contributed to steeper low-level lapse rates across the FL Peninsula into coastal GA early this evening where surface temperatures have warmed into the lower-mid 80s. A broken squall line, roughly 100 mi in length, has developed and currently extends from near AYS to southwest of VLD. This line is moving east-northeast at roughly 30kt within a modestly sheared environment that is supportive of maintaining an organized band of convection. Latest radar data suggests marginally severe hail and gusty winds can be expected with this band of storms as it propagates toward the Atlantic Coast. ..Darrow/Hart.. 03/19/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...TAE... LAT...LON 30438364 31458243 32028132 31388071 30168242 30438364
