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SPC MD 358

MD 0358 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH LIKELY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI…WESTERN ALABAMA…MIDDLE TENNESSEE


Mesoscale Discussion 0358
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0339 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

Areas affected...Southeastern Mississippi...western Alabama...Middle
Tennessee

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

Valid 302039Z - 302245Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Storms will continue eastward through western Tennessee
and much of Mississippi. A new watch will likely be needed for parts
of Middle Tennessee and western Alabama within 1-3 hours.

DISCUSSION...Storms in southwestern/central Mississippi continue to
move east. This portion of the line has shown a greater eastward
motion than adjacent areas. With the low-level jet and mid-level
forcing expected to increase into Alabama later this
afternoon/evening, the environment ahead of this activity should
remain favorable for scattered wind damage and tornadoes,
particularly in portions of southern Mississippi into
central/southern Alabama. Farther north into Middle Tennessee,
buoyancy will be weaker, but strong wind fields and strong forcing
for ascent should maintain the line now entering western Tennessee
and northern Mississippi. A new watch will likely be needed within
the next 1-3 hours.

..Wendt/Hart.. 03/30/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON   31398962 33298835 34128815 34898792 35888779 36558746
            36368651 35398655 34238680 32518686 32428685 32298681
            30848718 29968809 29978882 30398931 31398962 

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