MD 0358 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH LIKELY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI…WESTERN ALABAMA…MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Mesoscale Discussion 0358 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0339 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022 Areas affected...Southeastern Mississippi...western Alabama...Middle Tennessee Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 302039Z - 302245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Storms will continue eastward through western Tennessee and much of Mississippi. A new watch will likely be needed for parts of Middle Tennessee and western Alabama within 1-3 hours. DISCUSSION...Storms in southwestern/central Mississippi continue to move east. This portion of the line has shown a greater eastward motion than adjacent areas. With the low-level jet and mid-level forcing expected to increase into Alabama later this afternoon/evening, the environment ahead of this activity should remain favorable for scattered wind damage and tornadoes, particularly in portions of southern Mississippi into central/southern Alabama. Farther north into Middle Tennessee, buoyancy will be weaker, but strong wind fields and strong forcing for ascent should maintain the line now entering western Tennessee and northern Mississippi. A new watch will likely be needed within the next 1-3 hours. ..Wendt/Hart.. 03/30/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MOB...JAN...LIX... LAT...LON 31398962 33298835 34128815 34898792 35888779 36558746 36368651 35398655 34238680 32518686 32428685 32298681 30848718 29968809 29978882 30398931 31398962