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SPC MD 651

MD 0651 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 177… FOR CENTRAL TX

MD 0651 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 0651
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0323 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2023

Areas affected...central TX

Concerning...Tornado Watch 177...

Valid 282023Z - 282130Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 177 continues.

SUMMARY...An intense supercell ongoing in Coryell, County TX is in a
favorable mesoscale environment for tornadoes and will likely
continue for the next hour.

DISCUSSION...As of 2015 UTC, hi-res radar imagery showed a
well-developed supercell over portions of Coryell county Texas.
Based on an STP environment around 3 and VROT greater than 70kt,
there is the potential for this storm to produce a strong tornado.
VAD winds AT GRK at 925 MB have increased and backed to 35 kt from
the south, supporting greater low-level shear with strong buoyancy
(3000 J/kg of MLCAPE). Additional storm development along the
southwestern flank of the storm may eventually favor upscale growth
into a bowing MCS. However, this intense supercells is likely to
persist in an environment favorable for a strong tornado for at
least the next hour as it moves southeast.

..Lyons.. 04/28/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...

LAT...LON   30969750 30999771 31139808 31369802 31559779 31579757
            31399724 31169724 30969750 

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