MD 0714 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF EASTERN TN…WESTERN NC…FAR NORTHERN GA…AND NORTHERN SC
Mesoscale Discussion 0714 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0431 PM CDT Sun May 07 2023 Areas affected...Parts of eastern TN...western NC...far northern GA...and northern SC Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 072131Z - 072330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Isolated damaging gusts and marginally severe hail remain possible during the next few hours. DISCUSSION...Latest regional radar data shows several loosely organized convective clusters tracking south-southeastward along/immediately behind a large-scale outflow boundary draped across eastern TN into western NC. Around 30 kt of 0-6 km shear (per regional VWP) oriented parallel to the outflow boundary will continue supporting some organization of these clusters as they continue southward given marginal surface-based inflow. Locally damaging gusts and marginally severe hail are possible with the stronger cores for the next few hours, though a tendency for convection to be undercut by the larger outflow boundary and the eventual loss of daytime heating should generally limit the severe threat. ..Weinman/Guyer.. 05/07/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RNK...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...HUN... LAT...LON 35968464 36018397 36078321 36108264 36188210 36228166 36208124 36018076 35618064 35248090 34758291 34878546 35108574 35668582 35898561 35968534 35968464