MD 0848 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 233… FOR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND SOUTH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 0848
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0625 PM CDT Tue May 23 2023
Areas affected...southern Texas Panhandle and South Plains
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 233...
Valid 232325Z - 240130Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 233
continues.
SUMMARY...Large-hail and gusty-wind threat continues within WW233.
DISCUSSION...A mix of discrete supercells and multicell clusters are
ongoing along and east of the dryline across the Texas Panhandle
into portions of southwest Texas, producing large hail. Recent
reports of hail up to 2 inches were noted along the Texas/New Mexico
border. Discrete cells ongoing west of Lubbock have intensified
quickly on radar, with potential for very large hail likely
exceeding 2 inches in some areas. Cell splits and interactions with
area outflow boundaries will likely keep storm mode fairly mixed,
with discrete cells becoming clusters/outflow dominant. Interactions
with surface vorticity along boundaries and mergers may allow a
tornado, though environmental low-level shear and moisture are
marginal. The main threats will continue to be large hail and
occasional gusty winds, before outflow mergers lead to upscale
growth and transition to damaging-wind threat later this evening.
..Thornton/Edwards.. 05/23/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...
LAT...LON 33690266 34150306 35090304 35130272 35000215 34840173
34640155 34370126 34040110 33740105 32940104 32450099
32230104 32140148 32120193 32150220 32200244 32270253
32560244 33020238 33420244 33690266
