MD 0970 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH LIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0970 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 PM CDT Sat Jun 10 2023 Areas affected...southeast Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 110047Z - 110215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A risk for damaging gusts and large hail will likely persist south of WW 262 into southeast Texas and the Upper Texas Coast vicinity. A new watch will likely be needed within the hour. DISCUSSION...Clusters of storms across central/eastern TX will continue to develop southeast this evening into tonight. Latest trends indicate some upscale development into bowing segments is occurring, and severe gusts have been measured at KHLR (61 kt) and KACT (52 kt) within the last 20 minutes. Given a favorable downstream environment characterized by low 70s F dewpoints, strong instability and effective shear greater than 40 kt, the severe risk should persist for several more hours, necessitating the need for a downstream severe thunderstorm watch. ..Leitman/Hart.. 06/11/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...EWX... LAT...LON 28809548 30199672 30639654 30979552 30999463 30879386 30309370 29819386 29409399 28809548