SPC MD 608

MD 0608 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 194… FOR ERN KS…SERN NEB…WRN MO…FAR NERN OK

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0608
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0607 PM CDT FRI APR 27 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS...SERN NEB...WRN MO...FAR NERN OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 194...

VALID 272307Z - 280100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 194 CONTINUES.

A BAND OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY MOVE NEWD ACROSS
KS AND INTO SERN NEB. SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT MOST OF THE
ACTIVITY IS NOW ALONG OR N OF THE WARM FRONT...WITH ONLY A VERY
NARROW WARM SECTOR REMAINING OVER SERN KS AS THE DRYLINE ADVANCES
EWD.

VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A SHALLOW CU FIELD OVER SERN KS WITH BILLOW
CLOUDS OVER SWRN MO AND ERN OK. HERE..CAPPING IS HAMPERING
DEVELOPMENT...AND VERY DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE EXISTS ALOFT.

HOWEVER...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS EITHER SLIGHT LIFT OR AN END TO
THE MIDLEVEL SUBSIDENCE NOW MOVING EWD ACROSS NRN OK. AS THIS
FEATURE ROTATES ENEWD ACROSS THE NARROW WARM SECTOR AND WARM
FRONT...SOME ENHANCEMENT TO LIFT MAY OCCUR. BUT...IT MAY COME TOO
LATE FOR SURFACE BASED DEVELOPMENT...RESULTING IN A FEW ELEVATED
HAIL STORMS INTO WRN MO. CONDITIONALLY...SHEAR PROFILES ARE VERY
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS IN THESE AREAS.

..JEWELL.. 04/27/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...

LAT...LON   37879377 37209398 36969434 36599473 36679537 37249582
            37999614 38609659 38979710 39209768 39519826 39949876
            40179853 40229668 40209576 39919471 39519418 38929396
            37879377

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