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SPC May 29, 2013 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Thumbnail Image

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

VALID 290100Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE PLAINS TO THE
MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES REGION...

...PLAINS TO LOWER/MIDDLE MO VALLEY...
AT LEAST WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST
THIS EVENING WITHIN A CORRIDOR FROM THE TX PANHANDLE INTO
SOUTHWEST/NORTHEASTERN KS AND NORTHERN MO/FAR SOUTHERN IA...WITH
SOME ADDITIONAL EXPANSION POSSIBLE NORTHWARD ACROSS ADDITIONAL PARTS
OF WESTERN/NORTHERN KS AND PERHAPS NEB. SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
847. WHILE A TORNADO THREAT MAY REMAIN POSSIBLE...BOUTS OF SEVERE
HAIL WILL BE THE DOMINANT CONCERN THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.

ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...CLUSTERS OF TSTMS WILL LIKELY
PERSIST EASTWARD TONIGHT WITH SOME SEVERE HAIL/WIND POTENTIAL
CONTINUING...ALTHOUGH SOME EVENING TORNADO THREAT MAY STILL BE
POSSIBLE AS WELL ESPECIALLY ON THE SOUTHERN FLANK OF AN EVOLVING
CLUSTER OF STORMS.

...MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES TO NORTHEAST STATES...
COINCIDENT WITH AN EMBEDDED MCV /OR TWO/ AND A SUSTAINED/SOMEWHAT
STRENGTHENING WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET...CLUSTERS OF STORMS
WILL LIKELY BE MAINTAINED EASTWARD THIS EVENING ACROSS AREAS SUCH AS
NORTHERN IL/INDIANA TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES...WITH DAMAGING
WINDS/SOME SEVERE HAIL A POSSIBILITY. MAINLY OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...A FEW SUPERCELLS WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS AREAS SUCH
AS LOWER MI AND OTHER PARTS OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/PA. FOR
ADDITIONAL SHORT-TERM INFORMATION REGARDING THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/PA
VICINITY...SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 846.

..GUYER.. 05/29/2013

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via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html

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