MD 1101 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH LIKELY FOR KS…NWRN OK
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1101 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0816 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...KS...NWRN OK CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 170116Z - 170215Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED ACROSS PORTIONS OF KS INTO NWRN OK. DISCUSSION...AN UPWARD EVOLVING CORRIDOR OF THUNDERSTORMS IS CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM SWRN KS INTO SCNTRL NEB. THIS ACTIVITY IS PROPAGATING SEWD INTO AN AIRMASS THAT REMAINS CONDUCIVE FOR MAINTENANCE OF ORGANIZED SEVERE. 00Z SOUNDING FROM DDC EXHIBITS STEEP LAPSE RATES WITH MODEST INSTABILITY AND SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED MULTI-CELL UPDRAFTS. LATEST RADAR DATA SUGGESTS SEVERAL MCV/S ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE BAND OF CONVECTION...THE STRONGEST OF WHICH IS LOCATED NW OF GCK. WITH TIME A LARGER COMPLEX OF STORMS MAY EMERGE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE WHICH SHOULD PROPAGATE EAST OF THE CURRENT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ..DARROW/HART.. 06/17/2013 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...AMA... LAT...LON 36700051 39649977 39479757 36349801 36700051
via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1101.html
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