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SPC MD 1102

MD 1102 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 319… FOR KS…NWRN OK

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1102
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1058 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...KS...NWRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 319...

VALID 170358Z - 170500Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 319
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...LARGE MCS EVOLVING OVER KS SHOULD PROPAGATE SEWD INTO NRN
OK AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...WELL FORMED MCV HAS DEVELOPED WITHIN EXPANDING PRECIP
SHIELD JUST NE OF DDC.  LEADING EDGE OF BOWING LINE IS PROGRESSING
ESEWD AT ROUGHLY 40KT WITH TRAILING LINE SEGMENT ACROSS THE ERN OK
PANHANDLE MOVING MORE SLOWLY SEWD AT ROUGHLY 30KT.  GIVEN THIS SPEED
IT APPEARS STRONG CONVECTION MAY APPROACH THE ERN SECTIONS OF WW319
OVER SCNTRL KS BY 0530Z.  ADDITIONALLY...CNTRL PLAINS CONVECTION
THAT EVOLVED OVER NEB CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE SSEWD AND THIS ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE OVER CNTRL KS WITH AFOREMENTIONED MCS.
LARGE COMPLEX OF STORMS SHOULD EVENTUALLY SPREAD INTO NRN/NERN OK
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE
THREAT...THOUGH ISOLATED LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST
CORES.

..DARROW.. 06/17/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...AMA...

LAT...LON   36010001 39990014 39999789 36009787 36010001

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via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1102.html

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