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Mesoscale Discussion 1441 | |
Mesoscale Discussion 1441 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1142 PM CDT Sat Aug 07 2021 Areas affected...Parts of south central and southeastern Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 414... Valid 080442Z - 080615Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 414 continues. SUMMARY...A strong downburst or two may still be possible near and north through east of the Wichita area between now and 1-2 AM, before waning. DISCUSSION...Forcing for ascent near outflow boundary intersection has been sufficient to maintain vigorous thunderstorm development in a small cluster which appears likely to progress across areas near/north through east of the Wichita area during the next couple of hours. Some further organization and intensification may still be possible, along the with potential to produce a strong downburst or two. However, northeast and east of the Wichita area, latest observational data and objective analysis suggest that inflow into convection may become increasing less unstable, and this risk may wane near or shortly after 07Z.. ..Kerr.. 08/08/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN... LAT...LON 36959818 37299825 38009764 38249675 38499627 38569587 37999580 37689622 37369699 37119743 36959818 |
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