Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1441

   Mesoscale Discussion 1441
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1142 PM CDT Sat Aug 07 2021

   Areas affected...Parts of south central and southeastern Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 414...

   Valid 080442Z - 080615Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 414
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A strong downburst or two may still be possible near and
   north through east of the Wichita area between now and 1-2 AM,
   before waning.

   DISCUSSION...Forcing for ascent near outflow boundary intersection
   has been sufficient to maintain vigorous thunderstorm development in
   a small cluster which appears likely to progress across areas
   near/north through east of the Wichita area during the next couple
   of hours.  Some further organization and intensification may still
   be possible, along the with potential to produce a strong downburst
   or two.  However, northeast and east of the Wichita area, latest
   observational data and objective analysis suggest that inflow into
   convection may become increasing less unstable, and this risk may
   wane near or shortly after 07Z..

   ..Kerr.. 08/08/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...

   LAT...LON   36959818 37299825 38009764 38249675 38499627 38569587
               37999580 37689622 37369699 37119743 36959818