Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1685

   Mesoscale Discussion 1685
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0423 PM CDT Thu Sep 02 2021

   Areas affected...Central Kansas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 022123Z - 022300Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Storm coverage/intensity increasing across central Kansas.
   A watch may be needed.

   DISCUSSION...Storms have developed across the warm sector in central
   Kansas in an airmass with around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE and effective
   shear around 30 to 35 knots leading to some updraft organization.
   The primary severe threat is still expected to be with development
   along the front later, especially into southern Nebraska, but
   ongoing activity has shown enough persistence/intensity for earlier
   watch consideration.

   ..Bentley/Guyer.. 09/02/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

   LAT...LON   37660014 38859933 39509846 39729712 38839709 37539793
               37199985 37660014