MD 1160 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH LIKELY FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN KS
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1160
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0147 AM CDT WED JUL 06 2016
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND EASTERN KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 060647Z - 060815Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH WILL BE COORDINATED SHORTLY FOR
EASTERN KS AND PERHAPS PARTS OF FAR NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OK.
DISCUSSION...TWO EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD-MOVING BANDS OF STORMS IN
CENTRAL KS...EACH WITH THEIR OWN REAR-INFLOW JETS. THESE JETS ARE
DEPICTED BY THE INDIVIDUAL BOWING STRUCTURES OF EACH BAND OF STORMS
AND THE FORMATION OF A WNW-ESE CONVERGENCE ZONE FROM BARTON TO GOVE
COUNTIES KS BETWEEN THESE JETS. A STRENGTHENING SWLY LLJ /40-45 KT/
FROM OK INTO THESE STORM COMPLEXES AND RESIDUAL RESERVOIR OF
DOWNSTREAM MODERATE-VERY STRONG INSTABILITY SUGGEST THESE FACTORS
WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED THREAT FOR SEVERE WIND GUSTS THROUGH 10-12.
THE TRACK OF THESE BANDS BRINGS THE SEVERE THREAT INTO FAR SOUTHWEST
MO BY 10Z AND INTO NORTH-CENTRAL OR NORTHEAST OK NEAR THAT SAME
TIME.
..PETERS/EDWARDS.. 07/06/2016
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...
LAT...LON 39059786 39399759 38939627 38349503 37969445 37219404
36839452 36559530 36569653 36509773 36689846 37089873
37709886 38289924 38519931 38909819 39059786
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://bit.ly/29h1WNG
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