MD 1178 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH LIKELY FOR CNTRL AND ERN NEB…NRN KS
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1178
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0928 PM CDT WED JUL 06 2016
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN NEB...NRN KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 070228Z - 070430Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT
SUMMARY...THE THREAT OF SEVERE WINDS AND HAIL IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND A NEW WATCH WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED.
DISCUSSION...STORMS OVER CNTRL NEB HAVE CONGEALED INTO CLUSTERS AND
A FURTHER CONSOLIDATION IS EXPECTED AS OUTFLOWS BECOME LINKED OVER
TIME. THE AIR MASS REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE OVER 3000 J/KG
AND AMPLE MOISTURE TO SUPPORT OUTFLOW PRODUCTION. MEAN WLY FLOW
ALOFT AND AN INCREASING SWLY LOW-LEVEL JET MAY RESULT IN A RIGHTWARD
TURNING OF THE MCS...ASSUMING CIN DOES NOT INCREASE TOO MUCH.
THEREFORE...PARTS OF NERN KS...NWRN MO...AND SWRN IA MAY EVENTUALLY
SEE A DAMAGING WIND THREAT.
..JEWELL/HART.. 07/07/2016
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF...GLD...
LAT...LON 41819708 41479673 40969664 40479665 39849749 39770008
40160069 40570081 41160050 41629980 41859826 41819708
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://bit.ly/29p3DwN
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