SPC MD 1252

MD 1252 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 373… FOR EASTERN NEBRASKA…NORTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS…AND WESTERN IOWA

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1252
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0725 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN NEBRASKA...NORTHERN/CENTRAL KANSAS...AND
WESTERN IOWA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 373...

VALID 120025Z - 120130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 373
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS WW 373.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF WW 373 /ACROSS STANTON AND CUMING COUNTIES IN
NEBRASKA/...WITH MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION SOUTH ALONG A COLD FRONT
THAT STRETCHES FROM NEAR HSI SOUTHWESTWARD TO NEAR GCK.  THIS COLD
FRONT WILL SERVE AS AN INITIATING BOUNDARY FOR CONTINUED CONVECTION
IN THE WATCH AREA...AND A MORE CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR STORMS WILL
EXIST ALONG THE FRONT SOUTHWEST OF THE WATCH INTO
CENTRAL/WEST-CENTRAL KANSAS AS INCREASED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
DEVELOPS IN RESPONSE TO AN INCREASING LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS THE
REGION.  MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY AND 30-40 KNOT DEEP SHEAR
/WEAKER WITH SOUTHWARD EXTENT/ WILL SUSTAIN THE STORMS AND SUPPORT A
SEVERE WIND/HAIL THREAT THROUGH AT LEAST 03Z.

..COOK/HART.. 07/12/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

LAT...LON   38309989 38609989 39249938 40379858 41559792 42479747
            42729733 42869685 42789600 42319545 41389543 40569620
            39649675 39159729 38829843 38489917 38309958 38309989 

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