MD 1530 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH LIKELY FOR NERN PA…ERN NY…SWRN NEW ENGLAND
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1530
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0510 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN PA...ERN NY...SWRN NEW ENGLAND
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 132210Z - 140045Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT
SUMMARY...AREAS OF WIND DAMAGE ARE EXPECTED OVER E CNTRL NY AND
SURROUNDING AREAS INTO THE EVENING.
DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF CELLS HAS CONSOLIDATED OVER CNTRL NY WHERE
A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS EXISTS. RADAR SHOWS INCREASING
ECHO TOPS AS WELL AS SUBSTANTIAL BASE VELOCITY SUGGESTING SEVERE
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. FURTHERMORE...A WARM FRONT CURRENTLY EXISTS FROM
ERN NY INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND...AND MAY PROVIDE EXTRA LIFT THIS
EVENING. OTHER CELLS OVER PA ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST AND DEVELOP
NEWD THIS EVENING...ALSO AFFECTING SRN NEW ENGLAND WITH LOCALIZED
SEVERE WIND OR MARGINAL HAIL.
..JEWELL/GOSS.. 08/13/2016
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...
LAT...LON 41027709 41647713 42427616 43527498 43987367 43917239
43657175 43307160 42517168 42087194 41537272 41267453
41027709
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://bit.ly/2aQlsl4
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