MD 0441 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 101…102… FOR NORTHEAST KS TO WESTERN IA
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0441
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0845 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST KS TO WESTERN IA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 101...102...
VALID 250145Z - 250245Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 101...102...CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT IS ORIENTING ITSELF ALONG A CORRIDOR
FROM NORTHEAST KS INTO NORTHWEST MO. LARGE HAIL WILL BECOME THE
MAIN RISK...ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION...EARLIER SUPERCELL ACTIVITY THAT EVOLVED ALONG THE
DRYLINE ACROSS SRN NEBRASKA AND NRN KS HAS CONGEALED INTO A SW-NE
ORIENTED BAND OF SEVERE CONVECTION OVER NERN KS. AS LLJ INCREASES
FROM NERN KS INTO SRN IA THIS DEVELOPING SQUALL LINE SHOULD
PROPAGATE EWD TOWARD THE MO RIVER. LATEST HAIL ALGORITHM SUGGESTS
HAIL GREATER THAN ONE INCH IS COMMON FROM SALINE INTO POTTAWATOMIE
COUNTY KS. AS CONVECTION SPREADS EAST OF THE MO RIVER WEAKER
INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT SEVERE THREAT.
..DARROW.. 04/25/2016
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 38619805 39629661 40369602 41999582 43179546 43229464
41339453 39939461 39009504 38469623 38619805
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://1.usa.gov/1DIyV4E
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