MD 0562 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 151… FOR CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST NEB AND NORTHEAST KS
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0562
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2016
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST NEB AND NORTHEAST KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 151...
VALID 090048Z - 090245Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 151
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...BOUTS OF SEVERE HAIL/LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS...ALONG WITH
SOME TORNADO RISK NEAR/SOUTH OF THE NEB-KS BORDER VICINITY...WILL
CONTINUE THIS EVENING...AND MAY EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO PARTS OF
SOUTHEAST NEB/NORTHEAST KS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 151 CONTINUES
UNTIL 05Z/MIDNIGHT CDT. CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR AN
ADDITIONAL /OR REPLACEMENT/ WATCH ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL/NORTHEAST KS
INTO SOUTHEAST NEB.
DISCUSSION...CELL MERGERS ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL KS HAVE LED TO AN
UPSCALE-GROWING LINEARLY ORGANIZED COMPLEX OF STORMS...ALTHOUGH A
SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELL WITH A TORNADIC HISTORY PERSISTS ACROSS
EASTERN ROOKS/WESTERN OSBORNE COUNTIES KS AS OF 0045Z/745 PM CDT.
SOME TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE MAINLY ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL KS
AND POSSIBLY EVENTUALLY A PART OF NORTHEAST KS...WHILE LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS/BOUTS OF HAIL WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL NEB. THESE STORMS SHOULD GENERALLY CONTINUE
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THIS EVENING...AND COULD EVENTUALLY MOVE OUT OF
CURRENT WATCHES 150/151 TOWARD/AFTER 930 PM CDT. 00Z OBSERVED
SOUNDINGS FROM OMAHA/TOPEKA SAMPLED A RELATIVELY DRY/STABLE AIR
MASS...BUT AT LEAST A SMALL PART OF NORTHEAST KS/SOUTHEAST NEB COULD
WARRANT AN ADDITIONAL WATCH. FARTHER NORTH...AN EPISODIC SEVERE RISK
MAY CONTINUE IN THE SHORT TERM ACROSS SOUTHWEST INTO NORTH-CENTRAL
NEB...BUT OVERALL UPDRAFT/DOWNDRAFT INTENSITIES SHOULD WANE THROUGH
MID/LATE EVENING AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO COOL.
..GUYER.. 05/09/2016
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...
LAT...LON 40269816 40570020 42530016 42559853 41369813 41049740
40599662 38949684 38959798 40029791 40269816
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://1.usa.gov/1l86kwW
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