SPC MD 572

MD 0572 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 154… FOR EASTERN KANSAS….CENTRAL OKLAHOMA…AND EASTERN/NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0572
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0529 PM CDT MON MAY 09 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN KANSAS....CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...AND
EASTERN/NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 154...

VALID 092229Z - 092330Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 154
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...CONTINUE WW 154.  STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ONGOING ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA...WITH A CONTINUED
HAIL AND WIND THREAT.  SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH WERE CONVERTED
TO A TORNADO WATCH...AND ADDITIONAL AREAS MAY ALSO NEED TO BE
CONVERTED BASED ON LATEST CONVECTIVE TRENDS.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION CONTINUES...ACROSS
THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA ATTM.  THESE
STORMS ARE IN AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MODERATE INSTABILITY
/AROUND 2000-2500 J/KG MUCAPE/ AND SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR FOR
ORGANIZATION/STORM ROTATION...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
WATCH.  LARGE HAIL IS THE BIGGEST CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS AT THIS
TIME...ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WIND WILL BECOME MORE OF A CONCERN AS
STORMS HAVE HAD A TENDENCY TO CONGEAL INTO BROKEN LINES ESPECIALLY
NEAR/SOUTH OF THE WICHITA METRO AREA AND ADJACENT NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP SHEAR ARE SOMEWHAT STRONGER ACROSS SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE WATCH NEAR CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.  STORM
MODE IN THIS REGION IS MORE CELLULAR AS WELL.  FOR THESE
REASONS...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL BE SOMEWHAT GREATER IN THIS REGION
AND PORTIONS OF THIS REGION WERE UPGRADED TO A TORNADO WATCH. 
ADDITIONAL AREAS MAY NEED UPGRADING...AND TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED.

..COOK/CORFIDI.. 05/09/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...OAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...
DDC...

LAT...LON   34689808 35549862 36159895 36259895 36509895 36509895
            39229848 40009793 40009787 40009777 40009737 40009601
            40009533 38979505 37009462 35639447 34779608 34689766
            34689808 34689808 

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from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://1.usa.gov/1s8EpYM