SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0740 PM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022 Valid 010100Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC THIS EVENING... ...SUMMARY... A few strong or severe thunderstorm gusts, and perhaps a brief/weak tornado remain possible this evening over parts of the Mid-Atlantic region, and over far eastern North Carolina. ...Discussion... A strong midlevel speed max will continue to nose northeastward toward the Mid Atlantic tonight, with a dry slot reducing moisture depth over time. As a result, isolated activity across eastern NC is expected to wane during the early evening as winds off the surface veer ahead of the front, with a gradual decrease in storm intensity farther north along the front as the existing line of storms cross the marginal instability plume. In the near term, a relatively better zone of supercell potential exists from northern VA into MD with strong low-level shear remaining. Elsewhere, showers and storms will remain possible across central FL, with a few strong gusts possible. For more information see mesoscale discussion 382. ..Jewell.. 04/01/2022
