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SPC Apr 16, 2023 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1254 AM CDT Sun Apr 16 2023

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe weather is not expected across the continental United States
Monday and Monday night.

...DISCUSSION...
An upper-level low will move through the Great Lakes on Monday, as
an upper-level ridge moves through the High Plains. Low-level flow
will gradually strengthen across the southern Plains, as moisture
begins to return northward into southern and central Texas. Surface
heating during the day will result in an axis of instability in west
Texas and far eastern New Mexico. Isolated thunderstorm development
will be possible along and near the instability axis from the Davis
Mountains northward to the Texas Panhandle during the mid to late
afternoon. Gusty winds will be possible with these high-based
storms. Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible across south
Florida where surface dewpoints near 70 F will likely contribute to
moderate instability. Finally, a few lightning strikes will be
possible along the coast of the Pacific Northwest, due to steep
mid-level lapse rates and large-scale ascent ahead of an eastern
Pacific upper-level trough. No severe threat is expected across the
continental United States Monday and Monday night.

..Broyles.. 04/16/2023

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