Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CDT Sun Apr 16 2023 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is not expected across the continental United States Monday and Monday night. ...DISCUSSION... An upper-level low will move through the Great Lakes on Monday, as an upper-level ridge moves through the High Plains. Low-level flow will gradually strengthen across the southern Plains, as moisture begins to return northward into southern and central Texas. Surface heating during the day will result in an axis of instability in west Texas and far eastern New Mexico. Isolated thunderstorm development will be possible along and near the instability axis from the Davis Mountains northward to the Texas Panhandle during the mid to late afternoon. Gusty winds will be possible with these high-based storms. Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible across south Florida where surface dewpoints near 70 F will likely contribute to moderate instability. Finally, a few lightning strikes will be possible along the coast of the Pacific Northwest, due to steep mid-level lapse rates and large-scale ascent ahead of an eastern Pacific upper-level trough. No severe threat is expected across the continental United States Monday and Monday night. ..Broyles.. 04/16/2023

SPC Apr 16, 2023 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
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