SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 AM CDT TUE MAY 01 2012

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD BELT OF MODERATE-STRONG CYCLONIC UPPER FLOW WILL EXIST FROM
THE W COAST EWD OVER THE CNTRL-NRN HIGH PLAINS AND THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES/NORTHEAST.  IN THE LOW LEVELS...A SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP
OVER WRN KS WITH AN ATTENDANT DRYLINE EXTENDING SWD TO THE TX BIG
BEND REGION.  A LOWER-END CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER SETUP IS LIKELY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS BEHIND THE DRYLINE WHERE
FUELS ARE MOST RECEPTIVE TO FIRE GROWTH.

...ERN NM...
INCREASING SWLY/S ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP TODAY AS THE BOUNDARY
LAYER DEEPENS AND UNDERGOES STRONG SURFACE HEATING.  FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW RH FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE REGION
AS TEMPS WARM THROUGH THE 80S AND LOWER 90S.  SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS AOA 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL SUPPORT CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.  ALTHOUGH SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
FARTHER E IN PARTS OF W AND NW TX...RECENT RAINFALL WILL ACT TEMPER
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL ACROSS THIS AREA.

...WRN CO...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR TODAY ACROSS THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS OF WRN CO WHERE MODERATELY STRONG SURFACE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO ALIGN WITH LOWER RH/S.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THIS
AREA SHOW MAX TEMPS IN THE 60S WITH RH FALLING INTO THE TEENS.
SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15 MPH /HIGHER GUSTS/ MAY LOCALLY YIELD SOME
FIRE WEATHER CONCERN.

..SMITH.. 05/01/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html