SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 AM CDT FRI MAY 04 2012

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
A SHORTWAVE WAVE TROUGH...EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROADER LARGE-SCALE WRN
CONUS TROUGH...IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS BY SATURDAY
EVENING. AS THIS OCCURS...A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE S INTO THE
CNTRL PLAINS TOWARD AN AREA OF DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OVER KS. S OF
THE SURFACE LOW...A DRYLINE WILL EXTEND EQUATORWARD INTO W TX.

...SERN AZ...SRN NM...W TX...
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SWLY 700 MB FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN ON
SATURDAY /NEAR 25 KT/ ACROSS SERN AZ INTO WRN TX. THIS FLOW
JUXTAPOSED WITH A VERY DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER WILL FAVOR SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS NEAR 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. IN ADDITION...A
DRY ANTECEDENT AIRMASS COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S AND 90S
WILL RESULT IN MIN RH VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. THESE CONDITIONS
WILL SUPPORT AN ELEVATED TO LOW-END CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT
GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF VERY DRY FUELS. HOWEVER...WILL HOLD OFF ON
DELINEATING A CRITICAL AREA ATTM DUE TO SLIGHTLY MARGINAL SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS.

..GARNER.. 05/04/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html