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SPC Jan 19, 2023 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0647 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023

Valid 190100Z - 191200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOWER
AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION...

...SUMMARY...
Severe threat is expected to gradually wane this evening; however,
an isolated severe wind gust or a brief tornado remain possible.

...MS Valley...

Strong upper low continues its northeastward track across the
central Plains early this evening. Primary focus ahead of this
system will be across the mid and upper MS Valley/lower OH Valley
where height falls will be notable, in the 120-180m range, over the
next 12hr. While the southern extent of this forcing will spread
across the mid-south, current pre frontal band of convection is not
particularly robust and this activity is shifting into a region of
weaker instability where mid-level lapse rates are expected to
weaken the rest of the period. Isolated damaging winds, and perhaps
a brief tornado, are the primary risks from central LA into the
western TN Valley this evening.

..Darrow.. 01/19/2023

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