SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Thu Jun 22 2023 Valid 230100Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...AND PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Widely scattered severe thunderstorms will continue this evening across parts of the central and southern High Plains, where potential for large hail, damaging wind gusts, will remain possible. ...Central and southern High Plains... Widely scattered strong/locally severe storms are ongoing this evening from southern Wyoming eastward across parts of the Nebraska Panhandle, and southward across the central and southern High Plains. These storms -- and at least low-probability severe weather risk -- will likely continue into the overnight hours in tandem with an increase in southeasterly low-level flow, with storms moving slowly eastward/southeastward with time. Large to locally very large hail, and locally strong/damaging winds, will be the primary severe risks. ...Oklahoma and western North Texas... Isolated strong/severe storms are ongoing across parts of central Oklahoma, and into western North Texas at this time. The Oklahoma convection has gradually weakened over the last hour, and should continue to do so, though a stronger gust or two will remain possible in the short term. Meanwhile, a severe storm continues moving southward across western North Texas, and may persist over the next couple of hours, where large hail will be the main severe threat. Several CAMs continue to suggest an increase in storms over the South Plains area of Texas this evening, as a southeasterly low-level jet develops. Some upscale growth would then be possible, with storms shifting across central Texas overnight. While the degree of development remains uncertain, will maintain conditional 5% wind/hail probability (MRGL risk) across central Texas given this potential. ..Goss.. 06/23/2023
