SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0801 PM CDT Sat Jun 03 2023 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Widespread thunderstorms -- with a few stronger storms capable of producing damaging winds and hail -- will continue this evening and into the overnight hours across portions of eastern New Mexico and eastward across much of Texas. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and across much of Texas... A broken band of vigorous/locally severe storms continues moving eastward across the Rio Grande Valley region of South Texas. The storms are expected to persist through the evening and into the overnight hours, and may remain intact all the way to coastal Deep South Texas through latter stages of the period. With fairly strong (30 to 50 kt) flow at mid levels across northern Mexico and the Lower Rio Grande Valley, atop low-level southeasterlies, risk for locally damaging winds and hail will persist with eastward-propagating storms. Farther to the northwest, storms are increasing across areas from central Texas northwestward to eastern New Mexico. With an east-southeasterly low-level jet forecast to increase over the next several hours, continued expansions of storm coverage are anticipated. While flow at mid levels weakens with northward extent, increasing low-level winds will partially offset that, maintaining shear sufficient for organized storms, and local hail/wind risk with the strongest storms into tonight. ..Goss.. 06/04/2023
